Saturday, 21 July 2012

Winds of Change: Kim Jong-Un wants more for North Korea


Following the dismissal of a senior military official said to be opposed to reform, North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un has announced that the nation will begin to experiment with agricultural and economic reforms. Pyongyang has allegedly created a special bureau to take control of the economy from the military, a significant departure away from Kim Jong-Il’s “Military-First Policy”. Reports issued by the Bank of Korea based in Seoul have confirmed that North Korea’s real annual GDP has increased by 0.8% in 2011, a significant shift away from previous years of economic deterioration. As China increases investment in North Korea in the form of Special Economic Zones and private enterprise, Beijing has led initiatives to develop the nation’s vast mineral resources, valued at $6.1 trillion. Prior to his death, former North Korean leader Kim Jong-Il visited Russia to finalize agreements with Gazprom, a Russian state-run natural gas-exporter, to construct a pipeline connecting Russia, North Korea and South Korea, giving Pyongyang an estimated $100 million in annual transit fees.

Suggested Reading:

Exclusive: Kim plans economic change in North Korea, Reuters, July 20, 2012

Out with the Old Guard in Pyongyang, Asia Times Online, July 21, 2012

Building a “North Korean Hong Kong,” Sino-NK, April 29, 2012

Is Kim Jong Un Preparing to Become North Korea's Economic Reformer? TIME, April 19, 2012



Nile Bowie is an independent writer and photojournalist based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; he regularly contributes to Tony Cartalucci's Land Destroyer Report and Professor Michel Chossudovsky's Global Research Twitter: @NileBowie

Tuesday, 17 July 2012

The Discipline of the Frame

By Nile Bowie

Photography allows one to exemplify the historical collective consciousness of events. The objective of a photojournalist should be to capture unmitigated truth, creating an unwaveringly powerful medium in promoting awareness and communicating ideas. When conflict photographers sent home the first images of atrocities taking place during the Vietnam War, it provoked outrage and social discourse. Increasingly, the medium of photo and video journalism has been used as instrument of persuasion, to leverage against governments and institutions, and as a means to build support for foreign military intervention. I became inspired by conflict and sociological photography when I was a teenager; it was the harrowing images of the Rwandan genocide and the ensuing refugee crisis in the neighboring Congo that had the greatest impact on me. My childhood in the United States can be characterized as a period of intellectual isolation, with the affairs of own country and that of the outside world, largely unknown to me. 

More than anything else, photography encouraged me to develop a deep personal curiosity to understand these conflicts, to understand the existing ideological, ethnic, and tribal divisions that form the basis of such conflicts, and primarily, to understand the underlining strategic and geo-economic incentives that have historically motivated outside forces to enflame such divisions. I decided to take the initiative to pursue the medium of social photography on my own terms. At nineteen years old, I found myself with a small bag and a paper-thin budget, immersed in the pastoral countryside of eastern India, observing rural communism in India’s last Marxist state, West Bengal. The region was heavily unstable and shaken by guerilla insurgency and indiscriminate killings by Naxalite-Maoists rebels, on a mission to assassinate "class enemies" such as landlords and rural businessmen. 

My time there shaped me as a photographer, but more importantly as an individual. I stayed in a rural village for two months with a local family I encountered. Every day, I would travel deeper into the villages, observing the living conditions of people, while attempting to develop some idea of how they viewed the world. It was a time of deep questioning and personal growth. Due to budget constraints, my ability to frequently travel to continue producing these images is not economically feasible, so I began writing. Today, I am attempting to continue aggregating new information and ideas to add to my admittedly humble body of knowledge. Since my first experiences of photographing social unrest in the United States and subsequently relocating to South Asia, I’ve been fortunate to earn enough of an income to continue my work as a photographer. The following series of images have been the focal point of my work over the past three years. In conclusion, I can only hope that this work encourages others to similarly take the initiative to pursue their personal aspirations in whatever form they may be.


New York City, USA 2009
A demonstrator at Ground Zero on the anniversary of September 11th calling for an independent investigation into the attacks on the World Trade Centre. 

Kolkata, India 2009
An example of India’s urban destitute – a disabled man unable to survive without the compassion of others.
Taunggyi, Myanmar 2011
A security officer in the rural town of Taunggyi in central Myanmar standing before a billboard reading “Never hesitating, always ready to sacrifice blood and sweat is the Tamadaw,” a title bestowed upon the men of Myanmar’s military.
Kolkata, India 2009
A young man living in slums situated on the side of an active railway, bearing scars of an attack from a wild dog. 
Pittsburgh, USA 2009
Riot police detaining a man protesting a meeting of the G20 Summit being held in Pittsburgh. 
Pyongyang, North Korea 2011
An immense portrait of North Korea’s deceased leader Kim Jong-il on the side of a building towering above downtown Pyongyang.

Champahati, India 2009
Animal sacrifices conducted in a rural village of West Bengal coinciding with the annual Islamic Hajj have been historically significant for inciting sectarian violence in this part of India, as Hindus consider the cow to be a sacred animal.


Yangon, Myanmar 2011
Decades of crippling sanctions and economic mismanagement contributed to the downfall of local industries and manufacturing in Myanmar, leading to a desperate economic climate where children must voluntarily labor in order to survive.


Beijing, China 2011
Visitors of Beijing’s National Museum examine a portrait of the nations founding fathers, at a time when the ideals of their revolution appear to have little in common with the climate of contemporary China.

Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 2011
Demonstrators descend on the Malaysian capital calling for reform in the face of perceived flaws in the nation’s electoral system.

Panmunjom, South Korea 2011 
A South Korean solider guarding the Joint Security Area (JSA) of the Korean Demilitarized Zone on the border separating North and South Korea.

Kolkata, India 2009
A partially blind man residing along Kolkata’s sprawling railway slums fetching water for bathing.

Yangon, Myanmar 2011
A man pleads passerbies to donate money for anti-retroviral drugs that became unaffordable under international sanctions, during a national HIV/AIDS crisis.


Beijing, China 2011
Two saleswomen greet visitors, as China continues to undergo rapid social and economic changes with the established prevalence of luxury brands and consumer culture.


Kaesong, North Korea 2011
A wall painting reading, “Our children will inherit a unified peninsula!” on the outskirts of Kaesong, near the border separating North and South Korea.


Pittsburgh, USA 2009
Riot police detain a young protester after attempting to disperse inner-city demonstrations rallying against a meeting of the G20 Summit.


Yangon, Myanmar 2011 
A young sanitation worker manoeuvres through appalling conditions in a residential district of Myanmar’s capital.

Pyongyang, North Korea 2011
North Korean children perform in the annual Arirang Mass Games in preparation for the 100th anniversary of Eternal President Kim il-Sung’s birth. 
Beijing, China 2011
Dozens of security cameras keep watch near the main gate of the Forbidden City in Beijing’s Tiananmen Square.
Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 2012
Protesters in downtown Kuala Lumpur call for electoral reform and rally against the construction of a rare earth processing plant being set up in Kuantan, Malaysia by the Australian Lynas Corporation.

Taunggyi, Myanmar 2011
A middle-aged monk with throat cancer undergoing chemotherapy at a hospital in central Myanmar.

Pyongyang, North Korea 2011
A mother and her child sit next to North Korean elementary school students on the Pyongyang Metro service.
Beijing, China 2011
Historic residential alley neighbourhoods in Beijing known as “Hutongs” are slowly being demolished as corporate property developers invest in inexpensive areas of China’s capital.
Champahati, India 2009
Children in rural eastern India pose in front of a building in a village supporting the Communist Party of India.
Kolkata, India 2009
Labourers from the state of Bihar earning a pittance working in Kolkata’s markets, shouldering barrels of produce and vegetables weighing up to a ton. 
Yangon, Myanmar 2011
Workers along the Hlaing River in Yangon brave unforgiving conditions while clearing a path for future port-side infrastructure, often working barefoot and with limited tools.
Pyongyang, North Korea 2011
Ageing apartment complexes constructed in the late 1960’s with development aid from the Soviet Union litter the city view of Pyongyang.
Beijing, China 2011
The rubble of demolished local businesses in an old neighbourhood on the outskirts of Beijing’s commercial district.
Yangon, Myanmar 2011
A dissident monk bearing scars from past protest activity pauses behind a barbed wire fence.
Champahati, India 2011
Communities of Muslim villagers pray during the Islamic Hajj prior to conducting a series of ceremonial animal sacrifices.
Pyongyang, North Korea 2011
North Korean onlookers laugh watching foreign visitors on a ride at an amusement park in central Pyongyang.
Champahati, India 2011
An elderly man living in a rural area of West Bengal complains of being unable to afford medication.
Kolkata, India 2011
Orphaned children sleeping on the side of an active railway in a densely populated area of Kolkata’s slums.
Pyongyang, North Korea 2011
Two school children walk through Kim il-Sung Square in central Pyongyang past the slogan, “The Revolutionary Spirit of Mount Paektu,” referring to the birthplace of deceased North Korean leader Kim Jong-il.
Kolkata, India 2011
A young man lays unresponsive in a pool of urine with unblinking eyes, as hundreds pass on a busy city street in West Bengal’s state capital.
Nile Bowie is an independent writer and photojournalist based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; he regularly contributes to Tony Cartalucci's Land Destroyer Report and Professor Michel Chossudovsky's Global Research Twitter: @NileBowie

Tuesday, 10 July 2012

The Corbett Report - Syria Roundtable with Nile Bowie and Eric Draitser


Eric Draitser of StopImperialism.com and Nile Bowie join James Corbett for a wide-ranging discussion on possibilities for peace in Syria. We discuss Nile’s “Scenarios for Syria” article and talk about whether it is possible to imagine a non-violent (or less violent) resolution to the conflict. We also examine the geopolitical ramifications of what happens in Syria.

Nile Bowie is an independent writer and photojournalist based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; he regularly contributes to Tony Cartalucci's Land Destroyer Report and Professor Michel Chossudovsky's Global Research Twitter: @NileBowie

Monday, 9 July 2012

Bowie: ‘UN Should Investigate Arms Smuggling into Syria’


At a July 6th, 2011 meeting of the Friends of Syria conference in Paris, the United States and its European Partners led calls for the implementation of new sanctions on Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's government, with US Secretary of State Hilary Clinton threatening Russia and China for their stance on the issue. French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius called on the UN to invoke Chapter 7 of the UN Charter, mandating economic sanctions, an arms embargo, and potentially, military force. UN Envoy to Syria Kofi Annan admitted his six point peace plan had not succeeded and later criticized those nations undermining the plan by providing arms and assistance to Syria’s rebel fighters. Assad would not rule out direct negotiations with Washington and stated, "as long as you offer any kind of support to terrorists, you are partner. Whether you send them armaments or money or public support, political support in the United Nations, anywhere.”
Suggested Reading:
Scenarios for Syria: War and Stabilization, Centre for Research on Globalization, July 2, 2012
Searching for Solutions in Syria, Centre for Research on Globalization, June 10, 2012
SYRIA: Imperial Arrogance Spells Fatal Over-reach for the US and Western Allies, Centre for Research on Globalization, July 3, 2012
Nile Bowie is an independent writer and photojournalist based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; he regularly contributes to Tony Cartalucci's Land Destroyer Report and Professor Michel Chossudovsky's Global Research Twitter: @NileBowie

Tuesday, 3 July 2012

The Destabilization of Pakistan

Eric Draitser of StopImperialism.com provides analysis on a wide variety of issues facing the nation of Pakistan.

As relations between Islamabad and Washington reach an all-time low, the ongoing debate of reopening US/NATO supply routes that traverse through Pakistani territory remains in question. US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta recently acknowledged the fact that America is waging war in Pakistan’s northwestern tribal region, stating that Washington is “losing patience” with Islamabad, and that Pakistan should do more to combat terrorist entities such as the Haqqani Network. As civilians are indiscriminately killed under heavy drone assaults from the United States, a separatist movement in Balochistan, a province encompassing western Pakistan, eastern Iran, areas of southern Afghanistan, directly threatens China’s commercial shipping activities in the Indian Ocean. As President Asif Zardari calls for Islamabad’s full membership into the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Pakistan’s response to its issues of internal insurgency and separatism may shape its foreign policy for years to come.

Editor's Note: Shortly after releasing this video, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton announced the reopening of NATO supply lines through Pakistani territory:


Further Reading:

Balochistan: Crossroads of Another US Proxy War?, Centre for Research on Globalization, July 2, 2012

The Political Crisis in Pakistan: The Looming Possibility of a Military Takeover, Centre for Research on Globalization, June 23, 2012

US Killings of Innocent Civilians in Afghanistan and Pakistan, Centre for Research on Globalization, June 13, 2012

US Resumes Drone Killings in Pakistan, Centre for Research on Globalization, May 1, 2012



Nile Bowie is an independent writer and photojournalist based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; he regularly contributes to Tony Cartalucci's Land Destroyer Report and Professor Michel Chossudovsky's Global Research Twitter: @NileBowie

Monday, 2 July 2012

Investigate 9/11: Open Letter to KL War Crimes Commission

In May 2012, a war crimes tribunal in Malaysia’s capital city, Kuala Lumpur, found George W. Bush, Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld and other former Bush administration officials unanimously guilty of war crimes for their inhumane use of torture. After numerous official inquires and complaints from people around the world, the Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Tribunal  investigated and eventually prosecuted these individuals. This is an open letter to former Malaysian Prime Minister and Chairman of the Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Commission, Tun Dr. Mahathir bin Mohamad, calling on the organization to investigate the destruction of the World Trade Centre on September 11th, 2001. The Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Commission is the consultative body which oversees the KL War Crimes Tribunal. Malaysia is the only nation to have prosecuted these former officials in absentia.

The War Crimes Commission in Kuala Lumpur should lead a new and truly independent investigation into the events of September 11th. 
While citing documented forensic evidence is crucial to understanding the event itself, the underlying politicization of the September 11th attacks needs to be addressed with an emphasis on how these events were themselves contrived and used as a pretext for belligerent killing and war crimes around the world. A new investigation should be focused not only on scrutinizing inconsistencies within the official reports, but also determining the parties responsible and prosecuting them justly. Please support this cause by either copying this letter or composing your own, and emailing it to: admin@criminalisewar.org
Tun Dr. Mahathir bin Mohamad
Chairman of the Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Commission


Dear Tun Dr. Mahathir bin Mohamad,

It is with great respect and admiration that I send this open letter, commending you for your valiant efforts toward the recent prosecution of former Bush administration officials who are guilty of war crimes for their endorsement and use of torture. In these trying times, it is clear that the International Criminal Court operates with a mandate of selective justice, and is wholly unwilling to acknowledge the crimes committed by the United States of America and the former colonial powers. It is for that reason that the actions taken by the Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Tribunal are so significant and groundbreaking. While some may criticize the KL Tribunal because it has not been recognized by the United Nations and cannot impose legally binding judgments,  the court operates within the framework of international law and its landmark decisions are of historical significance.  

As Chairman of the Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Commission, I  respecfully suggest that your organization investigate one of the most significant events in modern history, and that is the destruction of the World Trade Centre on September 11th, 2001. At just eleven years old, I witnessed the demise of World Trade Centre towers and the subsequent issuance of aggressive foreign and domestic policy in the United States. Since emerging from the trauma and pain caused by the events of September 11th, scientific forensic evidence has brought forward numerous inconsistencies disproving the official account of events. There is no precedent for steel framed high-rise buildings to collapse from fire, the World Trade Centre Twin Towers and Building 7 are the only buildings in history to have ever collapsed due to excessive heat from office fires. 

In the irregular rapid onset of destruction, the Twin Towers exhibited nearly free fall acceleration through the path of greatest resistance, while multi-ton steel sections ejected laterally, indicating an explosion from within the building. While over one hundred first responders reported witnessing explosions and flashes, isolated explosive injections can be seen 20-40 stories below the demolition front when viewing footage of the collapse. 90,000 tons of concrete, metal decking, and steel frames were completely pulverized. The New York City Fire Department would discover several tons of molten metal in the debris. Evidence of melted steel is documented in reports issued by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). How were office fires measured at 1400°F able to produce 2700+°F molten metal? Furthermore, Building 7 was 47-story skyscraper and a plane did not hit it. It suffered small pockets of short-lived fires – and yet, it completely collapsed in less than seven seconds at near free-fall acceleration. 

The walls of Building 7 collapsed inwards, an unmistakable sign of controlled demolition, leaving no portion of the building left standing. I would like to bring to your attention a peer-reviewed study issued by The Open Chemical Physics Journal in 2009 titled, “Active Thermitic Material Discovered in Dust from the 9/11 World Trade Center Catastrophe.” Scientists concluded that microspheres formed from molten iron and unignited explosive thermitic chips were indeed present in the dust samples produced by the destruction of the World Trade Centre. You may be familiar with the organization, Architects & Engineers for 9/11 Truth, a non-partisan association consisting of over 1,600 architects and engineers who support a new investigation into the events of September 11th, 2001. For further insight into their findings, I would like to recommend two of their studies, “29 Structural/Civil Engineers Cite Evidence for Controlled Explosive Demolition in Destruction of All 3 WTC High-Rises on 9/11” and “The NIST Analyses: A Close Look at WTC 7.” 

The work of these brave and admirable architects and engineers provides us with undeniable validation to investigate their findings and ask difficult questions. While some resort to slander and demonization of those who question the official version of events, is it not entirely warranted to fully investigate an issue of such momentous importance when credible individuals publish such reports? It is clear that the destruction of these buildings were meticulously pre-planned events, using new and long established techniques of controlled demolition. It is the responsibility of those who stand for justice and international law to ask those difficult questions, and prosecute those responsible for these heinous acts of killing and wanton destruction.

Sincerely,

Nile Bowie
Kuala Lumpur
July 2nd, 2012 
Nile Bowie is an independent writer and photojournalist based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; he regularly contributes to Tony Cartalucci's Land Destroyer Report and Professor Michel Chossudovsky's Global Research Twitter: @NileBowie

Scenarios for Syria: War & Stabilization

By Nile Bowie

Diplomatic attempts to solve the Syrian crisis have been rejected by both members of the Syrian government and the opposition. As Ankara laments bold rhetoric and militarizes its border with Syria, this article attempts to foresee three possible outcomes to the ongoing crisis.

From the start of the crisis in Syria, the possibility of open foreign military intervention has loomed uncomfortably over the series of diplomatic measures taken in an attempt to diffuse the situation. While earlier attempts to implement the Peace Plan have failed to materialize, Kofi Annan has proposed a new Syrian solution, mandating the creation of a transitional national unity government consisting of both representatives of Assad’s administration and members of the opposition, insinuating that Assad would not have a place in the new government [1]. Although Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov would categorically oppose the idea of foreign powers dictating the future of Syria, stating, “We will not support and cannot support any meddling from outside or any imposition of recipes. This also concerns the fate of the president of the country, Bashar al-Assad,” a recent meeting of the "Syrian Action Group" (excluding Riyadh, Tehran and Damascus) in Geneva saw world powers agree to a basic roadmap for a Syrian-led power transition.

On June 28, 2012, two large bomb explosions targeting a government building rocked Damascus, prompting President Assad to reassert the Syrian government’s duty to “annihilate terrorists in any corner of the country,” adding, “We will not accept any non-Syrian, non-national model, whether it comes from big countries or friendly countries. No one knows how to solve Syria’s problems as well as we do” [2]. In response to the meeting, both Syrian state media and opposition groups condemned the UN-brokered peace plan for the formation of a unity government, amid ceaseless violence across the country. Burhan Ghalioun, a senior member and former head of the opposition Syrian National Council, offered, "this is the worst international statement yet to emerge from talks on Syria". Ghalioun would call the UN-backed transitional plan a "mockery," insinuating that Syrians should not have to negotiate with "their executioner, who has not stopped killing, torturing... and raping women for 16 months" [3].

From the imposition of the ceasefire, the Syrian government would claim that rebel fighters regularly ignored the Kofi Annan Peace Plan by committing various ceasefire violations, employing the use of bombing, kidnapping, murder, and arson as corroborated by Reuters in their article, “Outgunned Syria rebels make shift to bombs,” confirming that rebels had adopted tactics of suicide bombing, car bombing and the use of roadside explosions [4]. While outside elements provided arms and assistance to the militant Syrian opposition in full violation of the proposed ceasefire, the mainstream media would disproportionately lay the blame on the Syrian government for failing to meet its obligations as it attempted to restore order. On June 21, 2012, The New York Times would confirm what alternative media outlets and numerous geopolitical analysts had been reporting since the first months of the uprising in 2011, that outside forces, including the American CIA, were supplying Syria’s rebels with weapons and material assistance from Southern Turkey. In their article, “C.I.A. Said to Aid in Steering Arms to Syrian Opposition,” the New York Times would state:

“A small number of C.I.A. officers are operating secretly in southern Turkey, helping allies decide which Syrian opposition fighters across the border will receive arms to fight the Syrian government, according to American officials and Arab intelligence officers. The weapons, including automatic rifles, rocket-propelled grenades, ammunition and some antitank weapons, are being funneled mostly across the Turkish border by way of a shadowy network of intermediaries including Syria’s Muslim Brotherhood and paid for by Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar, the officials said. The C.I.A. officers have been in southern Turkey for several weeks, in part to help keep weapons out of the hands of fighters allied with Al Qaeda or other terrorist groups, one senior American official said. The Obama administration has said it is not providing arms to the rebels, but it has also acknowledged that Syria’s neighbors would do so.  
By helping to vet rebel groups, American intelligence operatives in Turkey hope to learn more about a growing, changing opposition network inside of Syria and to establish new ties. ‘C.I.A. officers are there and they are trying to make new sources and recruit people,’ said one Arab intelligence official who is briefed regularly by American counterparts. American officials and retired C.I.A. officials said the administration was also weighing additional assistance to rebels, like providing satellite imagery and other detailed intelligence on Syrian troop locations and movements. The administration is also considering whether to help the opposition set up a rudimentary intelligence service. But no decisions have been made on those measures or even more aggressive steps, like sending C.I.A. officers into Syria itself, they said” [5].
Undeniably, this confirms that the West, led by the US and its Gulf State proxies, has been undermining the Kofi Annan Peace Plan by arming insurgent fighters, particularly those of the Muslim Brotherhood, while concurrently berating the Syrian government for “violating” a UN mandated cease-fire and for “failing to protect” its population. The implications of these mainstream admissions of state sponsored terrorism and illicit arms smuggling cast shadows of doubt over any serious implementation of the Kofi Annan Peace Plan coming to fruition. The Brookings Institution, a US think-tank noted for its influence on American foreign policy, would release a publication in March 2012 titled, “Saving Syria: Assessing Options for Regime Change,” which called for using the UN-brokered ceasefire and the Kofi Annan Peace Plan to rearm the militant opposition to secure the toppling of the Syrian government in a bid to further Washington’s geopolitical objectives in the region [6]. Additionally, TIME Magazine’s June 25, 2012 article “A War on Two Fronts,” would describe how the US State Department budgeted over $72 million to train armed Syrian dissidents in encryption, hacking, and video production: 
“Washington has said it will not actively support the Syrian opposition in its bid to oust Assad. Officially, the U.S. says it abides by the U.N process led by Kofi Annan and does not condone arms sales to opposition groups as long as there are U.N. Observers in Syria. Nevertheless, as U.S. officials have revealed to TIME, the Obama Administration has been providing media-technology training and support to Syrian dissidents by way of small nonprofits like the Institute for War & Peace Reporting and Freedom House. Viral videos of alleged atrocities, like the footage Abu Ghassan produced, have made Assad one of the most reviled men on the planet, helping turn the Arab League against him and embarrassing his few remaining allies almost daily. ‘If the [U.S.] government is involved in Syria, the government isn’t going to take direct responsibility for it,’ says Lawrence Lessig, director of Harvard’s Edmond J. Safra Center for Ethics. ‘The tools that you deploy in Internet freedom interfere with tools deployed by an existing government, and that can be perceived as an act of aggression.’
The program actually began four years ago with a different target: China. In 2008, Michael Horowitz, a longtime religious-liberty advocate, went to his friend Representative Frank Wolf, a Virginia Republican, and suggested setting aside funds to help Falun Gong, a religious group that Beijing has labeled a dangerous cult. The money was supposed to help the dissident distribute software to jump China’s massive firewall and organize online as well as communicate freely with the outside world. Wolf succeeded in appropriating $15 million. But U.S. diplomats feared that move would derail relations with Beijing, and little money was spent. Then in 2009 – 10 Iranian protests and last year’s Arab Spring made Internet freedom a much more fashionable term in Washington. Congress soon forked over an additional $57 million to State to spend in the next three years. The money is spilt among three areas: education and training; anonymization, which masks users’ identities, usually through encryption; and circumvention technology, which allows users to overcome government censors so that their work – and that of repressive regimes – can be see worldwide.

An ongoing challenge is that the flow of software goes to both sides. The regime has imported technology from the U.S. to track people online. ‘A lot of these technologies can be used for great good,’ says Sascha Meinrath, who is leading the Internet-in-a-suitcase project, ‘but they are also a Faustian bargain.’ The Obama Administration last month issued an Executive Order imposing sanctions on any company helping Syrian or Iran commit human-rights abuses. Washington’s high-tech campaign will not dethrone Assad. But is has given Syrian dissidents a measure of confidence as they face the regime’s advantage in firepower. In the months since finishing his training, Abu Ghassan has shot dozens of videos. Asked whether his AK-47 or his video camera is the more powerful weapon, Abu Ghassan laughs. ‘My AK!’ he says. He pauses for a few seconds. ‘Actually if there is an Internet connection, my camera is more powerful’” 
[7].
TIME’s report reflects the seemingly limitless degree of outside interference in the Syrian conflict, with foreign entities attempting to meticulously cultivate and shape every dimension of the situation to the detriment of the legitimate government in Syria. TIME’s report also mentions the Obama administration’s executive order imposing sanctions on any company “helping Syria or Iran commit human-rights abuses.” Unsurprisingly, this would not include the American companies that sold the Syrian government the internet technology it uses to filter its internet services – the very services the US government has allotted substantial public funds towards to train dissidents to bypass. The downing of a Turkish F-4 jet in late June further enflamed the situation, prompting Turkish Prime Minister Recep Erdogan to vow “proportionate” retaliation for its downed jet, pledging “all possible support to liberate the Syrians from dictatorship” of Bashar al-Assad’s government by offering support for Syrian rebels, while warning that any Syrian troops approaching Turkish borders would be considered a threat and dealt with as a military target [8].

On June 27th, 2012, Turkey sent a heavily guarded convoy of 15 long-distance guns and other military vehicles to the Syrian border, amid belligerent threats of retaliation [9]. While the situation on the Turkish-Syrian border remains tense as Turkish officials deploy 30 anti-aircraft batteries, the Turkish Defense Procurement Agency has recently announced its plans to seek a $4 billion contract for a long-range air-defense missile system [10]. Documents released by The Brookings Institution and The Council on Foreign Relations indicate that Turkey is the nation elected to lead the charge against Assad if the situation continues to deteriorate, ostensibly to annex regions of northern Syria to establish a series of long proposed “humanitarian corridors,” from which Syria’s militant opposition fighters would base their operations [11]. In reflection of the current situation, several scenarios can be proposed in an attempt to foresee how the crisis can be either diffused, or further enflamed:

Assad ignores UN calls for an interim government and attempts to quell the insurgency by force, reflecting the conduct of nations such as Algeria, who have successfully suppressed insurgents affiliated with AQIM. This course of action may work to further enflame the situation if outside forces increase their use of foreign mercenaries and continue to provide rebel fighters with more dangerous armaments, including chemical or biological weapons. If Syrian security forces were unable to immediately restore order and crush the insurgency, any authentic or manufactured atrocity or incursion into Turkish territory may be enough to tip the scale in favor of open military intervention (with or without the approval of the UNSC). If that occurred, the Turkish-Syrian border would see open exchanges of fire, with Ankara attempting to capture territory in northern Syria. Russia, Iran, and China would condemn Turkey and other allied NATO member states, with the potential of those nations opposed to regime change in Damascus offering military support to Assad. From that point, the potential for a wider regional conflict is plausible.

Assad ignores UN calls for an interim government and succeeds in quelling the insurgency by force, causing rebel militants to disperse, surrender and take refuge in rural areas and neighboring countries. Syrian security forces would increase their operations and attempt to maintain order in population centers. The military would secure tense areas and some form of normality would resume, although bombings and other attacks could persist on a smaller scale. Assad would step up internal security, and be portrayed as an international pariah in the international media. Syria would continue suffering under heavy economic sanctions. If Assad continues to hold onto power, failing to deliver reforms and political pluralism, internal dissent could again become problematic, potentially shifting moderates to embrace factions of the opposition. Political turmoil would ensue, but the security situation could be stabilized if insurgent activity is successfully subdued.

Assad accepts the interim government solution and submits his resignation, potentially encouraging insurgents to take advantage of the sensitive transitional period by increasing their operations against security forces, continuing the months of belligerent violence and killing. If insurgents pushed forward with their campaign and were able to maintain an upper hand amid political transition, rebels would attempt to capture territory in and around population centers. Armed gangs would persecute Assad loyalists, Alawites, Shi’a, and other religious minorities such as Christians and Druze if they successfully captured territory, reflecting the conduct of Libyan LIFG fighters toward ethnic minorities and loyalists. The interim government would struggle to maintain the security situation and likely be unable to implement coherent policy amid divisions in leadership. Political turmoil would ensue, and armed gangs could continue their campaign, amid increasing sectarian tensions.

Civilian casualties could inevitably result from all these potential scenarios, as an unintended consequence of infighting between Syrian security forces and militants in populated areas, or as an intentional act of sectarian belligerence as demonstrated by extremists in Houla and elsewhere. The ongoing perpetuation of violence in Syria is not attributable to the dominant media narrative of Assad “butchering his own people,” but to the calculated and meticulous formation of a violent Salafist-front, directed by foreign powers to overwhelm and topple the government of Syria. Journalist Seymour Hersh’s 2007 exposé published in the New Yorker titled, “The Redirection,” exposed a joint US-Israeli-Saudi operation to create a violent extremist Sunni-front to direct at the Shi’a leadership of Hezbollah in Lebanon, President Bashar al-Assad in Syria, and the Iranian government, using extremist forces with direct ties to Al Qaeda in proxy. The New Yorker would report the testimony of a former senior intelligence official and US government consultant:
“We are in a program to enhance the Sunni capability to resist Shiite influence, and we’re spreading the money around as much as we can,” the former senior intelligence official said. The problem was that such money “always gets in more pockets than you think it will,” he said. “In this process, we’re financing a lot of bad guys with some serious potential unintended consequences. We don’t have the ability to determine and get pay vouchers signed by the people we like and avoid the people we don’t like. It’s a very high-risk venture” [12].
While Kofi Annan’s original Peace Plan – if honestly implemented with both sides respecting the cease-fire – would have defused the situation, it is Annan and the member nations of NATO and the Gulf Cooperation Council that disproportionately laid the blame for increasing violence solely on the Syrian government, while those nations took every measure possible to further enflame the situation by providing material assistance to sectarian extremists. Considering the level of subversion and deceit demonstrated by foreign powers operating in Syria, Bashar al-Assad’s ambitions to crush sectarian fighters by force may well be warranted. As with many other Western-backed uprisings operating under the cover of “democratic” jargon, the use of violence, snipers, mercenaries, and other armed provocateurs is part of a long established pattern of national destabilization through the barrel of a gun. Undoubtedly, there will come a time when those responsible individuals answer for their crimes against the nation of Syria, and it’s people. 

Notes

[1] Kofi Annan proposes Syria 'unity government,' Al Jazeera, June 28, 2012

[2] Annan 'optimistic' about Syria talks, Tehran Times, June 29, 2012

[3] Syria transition plan denounced by both sides, Al Jazeera, July 1, 2012

[4] Outgunned Syria rebels make shift to bombs, Reuters, April 30, 2012

[5] C.I.A. Said to Aid in Steering Arms to Syrian Opposition, The New York Times, June 21, 2012

[6] Saving Syria: Assessing Options for Regime Change, The Brookings Institution, March 2012

[7] Hillary’s Little Startup: How the U.S. Is Using Technology to Aid Syria’s Rebels, TIME Magazine, June 13, 2012

[8] Turkish PM vows to help 'liberate Syria from dictatorship,' Russia Today, June 26, 2012

[9] Ankara deploys military convoy to Syrian border: Turkish media, PressTV, June 28, 2012

[10] Missile shopping: Turkey to buy long-range missile system, Russia Today, June 29, 2012

[11] U.S.-Turkey Relations: A New Partnership, The Council on Foreign Relations, May 9, 2012

[12] The Redirection, The New Yorker, March 5, 2007



Nile Bowie is an independent writer and photojournalist based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; he regularly contributes to Tony Cartalucci's Land Destroyer Report and Professor Michel Chossudovsky's Global Research Twitter: @NileBowie